Several Wall Street research firms have a price target of 20 on Ford, which closed at $13.24 today. Ford generated $1bn of cash flow in Q4 2012, which supported this Jan 2013 dividend increase. The company has paid down $21bn of debt over the previous 24 months and appears to be executing on its turnaround. Ford has delivered 14 consecutive quarters of profitability in North America. With gas prices around $4 a gallon in the Northeast perhaps it will drag a bit on short term performance. Nevertheless, it's dividend and pension-derisking efforts seem to be working. Now that Ford is returning a larger amount of cash to it's shareholders, it should attract attention to dividend wealth seekers at 3.24% yield.
Technically speaking the stock went from just under $9 in July/August of 2012 to $14 in Jan 2013, so the stock has pulled back after a substantial run up. On the daily chart the stock is somewhat oversold, but on the weekly chart the stock could pull back into the $11-to-$12 range, which might be an ideal entry point for longer term dividend oriented investors.
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